Special
Delivery
a. increase the level of competition from existing competitors (in terms of price, quality, features, and service);
b. bring new competitors into your market, either from
startups or companies that currently compete in related
industries?
More potential competition drives prices down. In
response, supply chain managers should increase attention
and priority to potential disruptions.
Question 3. What is the expected velocity of change?
For each of the disruptive technologies, what is the time
frame for potential disruption, and how likely is each
new technology to be adopted? The faster the velocity of
change is expected to be, and the more likely it is that the
innovation will be adopted, the greater your attention and
priority should be.
It’s important to consider those questions in the context
of your competitive positioning. In each of your markets,
what is your current competitive position—leader, mid-
Disruptive
Technology
Business-model
Havoc
Competitive
Landscape
Velocity Potential for
Competitive
Advantage
Will this innovation
impact:
; Customer
value proposition?
; Revenue model?
; Cost model?
Will this innovation:
; Increase
competition from
existing rivals?
; Bring new
competitors into
your market?
What is the time frame
of potential disruption?
Also, consider your
current competitive
position and the
probability that the
innovation will be
adopted by rivals.
Will the successful
adoption of disruptive
technology give you
an edge over your
rivals? Will it be
difficult for rivals to
imitate? Will it be
valuable for
customers?
Green: 0–5% shift
Yellow: 5–10% shift
Red: >10% shift
Green: No
Yellow: Competition
from 1–2 other firms
Red: Competition from
more than 2 other firms
Green: 3+ years
Yellow: 1–3 years
Red: Less than 1 year
Green: No advantage
Yellow: 1–2 year
advantage
Red: > 2 year
advantage
Big Data/
Data
Analytics
Artificial
Intelligence
3-D Printing
Autonomous
Vehicles
Insert a disruptive technology specific to your industry
Insert a disruptive technology specific to your industry
[FIGURE 1] A CONTINGENCY-BASED APPROACH TO EVALUATING THE STRATEGIC
IMPORTANCE OF DISRUPTIVE TECHNOLOGIES
SOURCE: AUTHORS, 2017