ABRAHAM LINCOLN ONCE SAID, “GIVE ME SIX HOURS TO CHOP
down a tree, and I will spend the first four sharpening the ax.”
Honest Abe understood the importance of preparation. If you want
good results, you must take the time to prepare properly before acting.
The current administration should heed this advice, as it certainly has
failed to prepare for the possible ramifications of its ongoing trade wars,
particularly those with China.
Most would agree that China has not always played fair when it comes to
trade, and the president wants to force China to do so or face consequenc-
es. That’s why in late September he imposed the infamous 10-percent
tariff on some $200 billion worth of Chinese goods.
But in its attempt to punish China, the administra-
tion is harming U.S. importers and their supply chain
partners.
Anticipating such a move, many importers have
been stockpiling inventory. But once those stocks are
depleted, the new tariffs will cut drastically into margins, forcing importers to raise prices or make aggressive cuts throughout their supply chains.
Trade wars also disrupt transportation. Ocean carriers and ports may suffer if importers cut back on shipments. Railroads and trucking lines that haul those
goods cross-continent may also see disruptions, with
thousands of jobs at risk.
The president would like to see many of the products currently manufactured overseas return to U.S. factories. Wouldn’t
we all? But that’s not a practical plan, considering we don’t currently have
the industrial infrastructure to support it. With an unemployment rate of
around 4 percent, we also don’t have workers to staff those factories.
While the goal of building up U.S. manufacturing capability at home
is laudable, there are better ways to go about it. Rather than punishing
companies that do business with China, wouldn’t it be better to provide
incentives for firms to build the infrastructure needed to boost U.S.-based
manufacturing? With a lack of labor to staff such expansion, automated
equipment will have to fill the gap. Government can and should encourage
the growth of industries that create new technologies that make it cheaper
to produce and distribute products here at home.
Mistakes are made when governments move without due consideration
of the consequences. Abe Lincoln also addressed the need to avoid hasty
decisions when he said, “Nothing valuable can be lost by taking time.”
For a president who likes to compare himself with Mr. Lincoln, our
current chief executive should take his words to heart.
bigpicture
Editorial Director
Trade wars mean supply chain pain
David Maloney
Editorial Director
dmaloney@dcvelocity.com
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