Brave new world of logistics
These days, it’s hard enough to predict what will happen next
month, let alone several decades from now. Yet it behooves logistics and supply chain managers to think about their companies’
future. Forward thinkers will find much to consider in Deutsche
Post DHL’s new report, Delivering Tomorrow: Logistics 2050.
The report examines five possible scenarios of life in the
year 2050, outlining how the world might look in terms of
globalization, economic and social development, technology,
and environmental conditions. To develop those visions,
Deutsche Post DHL called on respected experts from around
the world, including former director of the U.N.
Environmental Program Klaus Töpfer and Fatih Birol, chief
economist of the International Energy Agency.
Herewith a very brief overview of the five scenarios:
Scenario 1: Untamed economy, impending collapse. Unchecked
materialism, mass consumption, and tumultuous growth cause
demand for logistics and transport services to soar. A global
transportation “supergrid” ensures a rapid exchange of goods
between centers of consumption. But as climate change
advances, supply chains are increasingly disrupted.
Scenario 2: Megaefficiency in “megacities.” Megacities have
become champions of collaboration, and highly efficient traffic concepts have relieved congestion. A global supergrid of
mega transporters and space transporters supports trade
between megacities. The logistics industry has been entrusted
to run city logistics, utilities, and system services for airports,
hospitals, and retail.
Scenario 3: Customized lifestyles. Individualization and personalized consumption are pervasive. Consumers are
empowered to design and make their own products. This
leads to a rise in regional trade streams, with only raw materials and data still flowing globally. This turns strong regional logistics capabilities and a high-quality last-mile network
into important success factors.
Scenario 4: Paralyzing protectionism. Triggered by economic
hardship, excessive nationalism and protectionist barriers
reverse globalization. High energy prices and scarcity of supply
lead to international conflicts over resources. Governments
view logistics as a strategic industry. As relations between some
blocs and countries become strained, logistics providers act as
intermediaries in international trade brokerage.
Scenario 5: Global resilience, local adaptation. Frequent
catastrophes caused by climate change disrupt supply chains
and lean production structures. A move toward redundant
production systems and from global to regionalized supply
chains allows the global economy to better weather troubling
times. The logistics sector makes supply security a top priority, with backup infrastructure to guarantee transport in
unstable and hazardous times.
The full report is available for download at Deutsche Post
DHL’s website, www.dp-dhl.com. ;
inbound
Industry gives generously all
year ’round
You expect to hear about charitable donations
around the holidays, but in the material handling
and logistics industry, generosity knows no sea-
son. Here are just a few examples of the sizable
donations industry players have made recently:
▪ Camoplast Solideal, a manufacturer of tires,
wheels, and other components for the material
handling industry, will donate 50 percent of the
profits from the sale of limited edition “Drive for
the Cure” tires during April to the Pancreatic
Cancer Action Network. The high-performance
poly tires come in the signature
purple color of the campaign
against gastrointestinal and
pancreatic cancer. To support
the fundraising campaign, the
company developed merchan-
dising and a series of postcards
featuring testimonials from cancer survivors in the
material handling industry.
▪ NACCO Materials Handling Group Inc.,
parent of Hyster and Yale brand lift trucks, presented a check for $20,200 to United Way of Pitt
County (N.C.) during an East
Carolina University basketball
game. NMHG employees
raised the money by donating
$100 for each three-point shot
made during this year’s basketball season. NMHG has
donated more than $3.4 million to the United
Way of Pitt County since 1999.
▪ To celebrate its achievement of $10 billion in
total revenues in 2011, multimodal logistics services provider C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.
designated an additional $100,000 for donations
to 10 charitable organizations through its C.H.
Robinson Foundation. The organizations were
selected based on the level of current employee
involvement with each organization. Since 2005,
the foundation and its parent company have
given more than $11 million to charity.
▪ Over the past 10 years, Nissan Forklift Corp.
has donated nearly a quarter of a million dollars
to the United Way of Greater McHenry County
(Ill.). At the end of 2011, the total stood at more
than $242,000. Employees have participated in a
variety of fundraising events, including silent auctions, chili cook-offs, and executive chair races. ;