The Federal Reserve’s December decision to raise interest
rates should not slow capital flows into the thriving U.S.
commercial property market—which includes warehouses
and distribution centers—because solid economic fundamentals will prop up asset values and foreign demand
for U.S. property will remain strong, said real estate giant
CBRE Group Inc. in releasing its fourth-quarter analysis of
the commercial sector.
The fourth-quarter “industrial availability” rate, which
CBRE defines as the percentage of properties being marketed and available within a 12-month period for a tenant
to make any interior modifications, hit 9. 4 percent in
the fourth quarter, the Los Angeles-based firm said last
month. This marks the 23rd consecutive quarter of falling
availability in the industrial sector, the longest stretch since
CBRE began tracking the national market in 1989, the
company said.
Of 57 industrial markets that CBRE monitors, 35 report-
ed declining availability in the fourth quarter, CBRE
said. Detroit reported the most significant drop, with the
availability rate falling 120 basis points, or more than one
full percentage point, from the third quarter, CBRE said.
Dallas, New York, and Atlanta also reported significant
sequential declines, it said.
“The majority of markets continue to improve, and a few
are even experiencing lower levels of available space than
has been seen in decades,” said Jeffrey Havsy, Americas
chief economist for CBRE. “Such constraints will continue
to provide upward pressure on rent levels, as demand-side
fundamentals remain quite favorable for industrial users.”
Yet the marginally higher borrowing costs will not sidetrack an industry that is demonstrating steadily improving
fundamentals, according to Havsy. “Commercial real estate
remains in a ‘Goldilocks’ state, with both demand and supply neither too hot nor too cold,” Havsy said in a statement.
“This slow, stable improvement is extremely healthy for the
sector, but is at a pace that is sustainable for 2016.”
© 2015 Apex Industrial Technologies LLC. All rights reserved. Apex Supply Chain Technologies
and its mark are registered trademarks of Apex Industrial Technologies LLC.
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Higher interest rates shouldn’t sidetrack strong commercial
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