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ership capabilities, and transportation expertise is either
“rarely available” or “not available” in the marketplace
today.
This means that companies will have to devote significant time and resources to training and development. No
longer can they rely on on-the-job training; instead, they
must establish formal, structured leadership training programs, according to the report. But nearly all of the survey
respondents agree that their current training programs are
lacking, with 94 percent saying they will have to revise their
development programs to better attract and retain talent.
Indeed, fewer than 30 percent of companies currently have
a formal, structured training program, although there are
signs others are starting to fall in line. More than 55 percent of the respondents say they will likely have a formal
transportation management talent-development program
in place by 2030.
EXCEL WON’T DO
For companies looking to stormproof their operations,
developing a championship-caliber leadership team won’t
be enough, however. They also have to give their people
the right tools. “The more complex the freight market and
customer requirements become over the next decade, the
more companies will need strong technology to manage
transportation planning and operations,” Gibson says.
“Legal pads, maps, and Excel spreadsheets just won’t do in
the current and future transportation environment.”
For years, the “go-to” application for transportation
managers has been the transportation management system
(TMS), with its suite of planning, execution, and control
applications. Seventy percent of survey respondents use
TMS for carrier selection, cost analysis, performance mea-
surement, and visibility, while a smaller number use the
software for labor planning, event management, require-
ments forecasting, and analytics. In spite of the widespread
use, the software does not receive rave reviews, according
to the report. The majority of respondents rated their TMS
tools as only moderately or minimally effective for such
tasks as cost analysis. Those shortcomings notwithstanding,
survey respondents say they intend to expand their use of
all TMS capabilities.
At the same time, they’re keeping an eye on emerg-
ing technologies that promise to drive operational gains.
According to the survey, 87 percent of respondents think
next-gen technologies will fundamentally change transpor-
tation operations, although the timetables will vary. For
example, respondents believe that advanced analytics and
the Internet of Things (Io T) have a high potential to upend
transportation operations in the next three years, and that
blockchain and artificial intelligence (AI) have significant
“disruption potential” over the next five years. (See Exhibit
4.) On the other end of the spectrum, “Logistics 2030”
respondents are not convinced that driverless trucks are
coming in the near future, Gibson says. They predict it
will be 10 years or more before the market sees significant
implementations.
“That’s quite a departure from the hype that we’ve been
hearing in the popular media over the last three to five
years,” Gibson says.
While respondents were excited about the potential of
emerging technology, their optimism was tempered by
realism—and an awareness of the obstacles they face. For
instance, 61 percent said they did not have adequate funding to support a major technology initiative, and 82 percent
believe there’s a significant risk that heavily hyped technology will not deliver the promised benefits.
FIVE STEPS TO GET AHEAD
Transforming transportation management to meet the
demands of a new world order will not be easy, but the
report has five common-sense suggestions to help companies get there. They are as follows:
1. Establish coherent, data-driven plans. Managing
transportation via intuition and a day-to-day firefighting
approach will no longer cut it.
2. Strengthen key relationships. The balance of power
currently lies in the hands of the carriers. To get reasonable
rates and guaranteed capacity, shippers will have to don
their sales hats and sell themselves to potential carriers and
third-party logistics service providers.
3. Give transportation a seat at the “adult” table. In a world
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In use Five years 10 years
Widespread-adoption time frame
Predictive
analytics
Internet
of Things
(IoT)
Prescriptive
analytics
Chatbots
Blockchain
On-demand
freight services
3-D printing
Artificial
intelligence
Drone delivery
Electric vehicles
Robotic
loading
Autonomous
vehicles
EXHIBIT 4
What is the potential impact of
next-generation tools on
transportation?
SOURCE: “LOGISTICS 2030: NAVIGATING A DISRUPTIVE DECADE: YEAR 1—
FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION,” 2019