BY CLIFFORD F. LYNCH
fastlane
the road less stimulated
I HAVE ALWAYS BEEN CAREFUL TO AVOID TAKing political positions in this column and have tried
to curb whatever cynicism I may have felt about the
actions of political parties or individuals (with the
possible exception of the secretary of transportation,
whom I consider to be fair game). But in today’s economic and political climate, that’s becoming
increasingly difficult. A case in point is the now infamous “stimulus package” offered up by the current
administration.
In a radio address shortly after his election, then
President-elect Barack Obama called rebuilding the
nation’s infrastructure a top priority. In his address,
he announced his intention to “create millions of
jobs by making the single largest new investment in
our national infrastructure” since Dwight
Eisenhower authorized $25 billion ($188 billion in
2007 dollars) for the construction of the Interstate
Highway System.
As the legislation has evolved, however, only about
$63 billion has been allocated to transportation infrastructure, with less than half of that designated for
roads and bridges. The funding comes with the stipulation that the projects must be “shovel ready” in
order to create jobs as quickly as possible and provide
maximum stimulative effect on the economy.
While I am all in favor of creating jobs and stimulating the economy in any way we can, I am concerned by the evident lack of a strategic vision—
something I have mentioned in previous columns.
Once again, we will be plunging ahead with thousands of individual projects for which there is no
comprehensive master plan. The American
Association of State Highway and Transportation
Officials has estimated that the 50 states have 5,148
projects representing $64 billion that can be ready to
go within 180 days. Certainly, this could generate
employment, but one can only imagine what some of
these projects might be. “Ready to go” does not necessarily mean a project is a wise investment—or one
that has significant value beyond possibly creating
short-term employment.
As for those jobs, President Obama’s plan conjures
up memories of Franklin D. Roosevelt’s Works
Progress Administration of the 1930s. Between 1935
and 1943, the WPA generated almost 8,000,000 jobs.
There is probably not a county in the United States that
does not have a bridge, road, or park built by the WPA.
According to the Encyclopedia of American History,
during its eight-year life, the WPA built 651,087 miles
of highways and roads, as well as 124,031 bridges.
This was in addition to thousands of schools and
parks. The major criticism was that there were too
many people working on too many projects that
weren’t always needed or wanted. Granted, the construction projects provided temporary jobs, but many
of the finished products
provided little, if any, ongoing employment.
The current undertaking
will probably have similar
results. One example is a
“hot” stimulus project in
my city. City leaders are
salivating over the possibility of receiving $27 million
to build a Mississippi River
boat dock and gathering
place. Attractive? Probably,
but not likely to provide
long-term employment for many. And certainly not a
major contribution to transportation infrastructure.
Finally, where is the rest of the $800 billion stimulus spending going? So far, we have accounted for only
$30 billion, or 3. 8 percent, of the total. Another $30+
billion has been designated for rail, air, and water
development, but that still leaves us more than $700
billion short. As for the remainder, all I can say is, here
we go again. The final version of the stimulus bill allocates funds to upgrade the Farm Service Agency’s
computer system, inspect canals in urban areas,
reduce tribal alcohol and substance abuse, and renovate the headquarters of the Public Health Service.
Does the economy need a big boost? No question
about it. Let’s hope this works. But let’s not pretend
this is a meaningful investment in infrastructure.
Clifford F. Lynch is executive vice president of CTSI, a supply chain solutions firm, and author
of Logistics Outsourcing – A Management Guide. He can be reached at cliffl@ctsi-global.com.