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Jim Giermanski, president of transport
security firm Powers Global Holdings and a
veteran observer of the Southern border
trade scene, says the agreement could actually stimulate the U.S. economy and increase
jobs by creating new demand for maintenance services, truck yards, and equipment.
Despite that, Giermanski says the agreement will have little competitive impact on
the marketplace. The one exception, he says,
could be the creation of regional hub-and-spoke operations linking Mexico with U.S.
border cities, notably in Texas.
Kyle Alexander, director of strategic carrier development for Transplace, a Frisco,
Texas-based third-party logistics service
provider with significant Mexican exposure,
agrees that open access for Mexican truckers
could, in the near term, trigger new opportunities for shippers building a distribution
presence on the southern border.
“It will open up this unique economic
zone between Texas and Mexico to a level
that has never existed before,” Alexander
says. Opportunities for long-haul service, he
adds, will take at least three to five years to
develop, if they come to fruition at all.
THANKS, BUT NO THANKS
The issue of open access for Mexican truckers into U.S. markets has been on the table
since the North American Free Trade
Agreement (NAFTA) took effect back in
1994. In fact, NAFTA stipulated that qualified Mexican carriers should be allowed full
freedom in U.S. commerce no later than
January 2000. However, legal and administrative roadblocks—mostly driven by safety
and environmental concerns—have kept
them out.
The reality, though, is it has never been a
freedom that Mexican carriers crave. One
trucking industry source noted the Bush
administration “literally had to beg”
Mexican truckers to participate in a 2007
pilot program that gave a limited number of
Mexican truckers entry into U.S. markets.
Mexican carrier participation fell way short
of the 100 trucking concerns the U.S. government hoped for, the source said.
“This notion that this agreement opens the
floodgates is absurd,” said the executive, who
requested anonymity. “However this develops,
it will be evolutionary, not revolutionary.”